Drive into the Fog

Yesterday at national noon and I drove on the motorway from Oregon to Madison in my jeep. There was a dense fog. They could only see approximately thirty foot in each possible direction. As around too receives an idea was from which it -- exaggerated a little, but not by much -- sees you the illustration of the feuerwehrmannes to left (Wisconsin condition journal photo). Suddenly a car led me at approximately 65 miles per hour. I said to national, �If there am A jacknifed half over the road in front, which stupid jerk will plow to the right into it. There�s straight no way, which it could stop in the time in this fog!� approximately two and one half of hours came later, convenient on intergovernmental 90 close, some drivers the fog and slowed down to the correct speed. They were rearterminated by one half truck, which did not have. Followed a row aborts, which grew terriblly into a Massenkarambolage 100-car. It blocked both sides of the motorway and expanded for five miles down the road. A person said that cars held to come �like rockets.� in the police estimated that some the cars concerned with 70 miles per hour to have gone to have, when they slammed shut into their victims. Two people killed and approximately to fifty went to the hospital. Here the WSJ is article over the giant accident [ you miss not the maintained forum notes on �driving during stupid� ] and is here an eye-witness account. Here straight for the tail of it, is blog a post on a similar accident close Fresno.What betaeubte me over this was the thing, which surprised me, even before the accident happened: so many people drove, as if it was a normal day. Why it consider didn�t more people does that she couldn�t a verfluchte thing sees, and drives accordingly? I�ve, which of this since yesterday it thinks and I think that I let explain an answer of sorts.As the late Aaron Wildavsky in a large small designated book searches for security, there am with two possibilities, which adoption of resolutions can employ a system disturbance: Mobility and expectation. A flexible system soils disturbances and changes accordingly. An anticipating system aims off to forecast and it completely avoid disturbances and error� is a flexible basic rule �Trial. Expectation aims at attempt without disturbance. Tradition is a free example of a flexible system (if in any case remains it flexibly and does not petrify not). We do, what we did in the past. Finally it�s, those up to now, isn�t it works? We change it, if it goes wrongly. �If, it fallow ain�t, don�t embarrassment it� a maxim the resilience.Those driver used mobility is. They drove, like them normally, prepared, in order to change, if somewhat wrongly should go. The problem with that is that �going wrong� toetung in this case can mean someone or, your car destroying. Driving is a context, which requires obviously expectation. �Drive defensively� is principle.What an anticipating, which was those drivers not rather so opposed to common sense did, how it regards first. Mobility is frequently a very good strategy. It actually marks the mental condition most us is normally inside. Simply mobility at the wrong place and to time.In our lives, which we use both kind of the strategy, practiced sometimes at the same time. But we bend also to sometimes build on and to other time more heavily on other more with difficulty. Expectation for all dangers to use would be far beyond the capacities of the human brain. It will of everything constantly immediately think for meaning. We must build background answer to mobility as the resetting, to the danger and in expectation shift, if them are designate for. What is it these marks or the other one the more suitable strategy? What should cause the shift into the anticipating mode? This is a fascinating question and up to me knows that it was not investigated. If be.In a way, we always drive it into a fog. We always know that there are aborts in front. The important question is, which strategies we should now assume toward to them.
Source: http://lesterhhunt.blogspot.com/2008/01/driving-in-fog.html

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